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About this paper
Subhrajit Roy, Diana Mincu, Lev Proleev, Negar Rostamzadeh, Chintan Ghate, Natalie Harris, Christina Chen, Jessica Schrouff and 3 more
The authors test whether performance outcome measures and demographic data forecast disability in clinical-trial and smartphone settings. A temporal convolutional network processes repeated observations over time, while other models aggregate them. On MSOAC, it reached an AU PRC of 0.909 (SD 0.014) for predicting EDSS above 3 within 0–6 months; this cross-validated benchmark does not establish clinical benefit.
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