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About this paper

Felipe Maia Polo, Ronald Xu, Lucas Weber, Mírian Silva, Onkar Bhardwaj, Leshem Choshen, Allysson Flavio Melo de Oliveira, Yuekai Sun and 1 more

PromptEval, developed by researchers including those from the MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab, introduces an efficient method based on Item Response Theory to estimate the full performance distribution of Large Language Models across a large pool of prompt templates. It provides accurate performance quantiles with a budget equivalent to just two single-prompt evaluations, addressing the high computational cost and prompt sensitivity of current LLM evaluation practices.

Key insights

  • PromptEval significantly reduces the computational cost of comprehensive multi-prompt evaluation while maintaining high accuracy.
  • LLM performance is highly sensitive to prompt variations not only overall but also at the individual subject level, with low cross-model consistency for effective prompts.
  • Estimating performance distributions and quantiles offers a more robust and nuanced understanding of LLM capabilities than single-point metrics.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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