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About this paper

Zhijie Qiao, Haowei Li, Zhong Cao, Henry X. Liu

LightEMMA tests whether newer vision-language models predict driving trajectories better by giving models the same front-view image and three-second driving history, without fine-tuning or prompt engineering. Across 15 models in five families, results are non-monotonic: Claude 3.7 Sonnet has 1.08 m average displacement error, versus 1.44 m for Claude 4.6 Sonnet. This open-loop evaluation does not establish real-world safety.

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