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About this paper

Joshua J. Daymude, Robert Axelrod, Stephanie Forrest

Researchers from Arizona State University, the University of Michigan, and the Santa Fe Institute developed a computational model to analyze strategic interactions between a population of individuals and an adaptive authority regarding dissent and self-censorship. The model reveals that while a "draconian policy" can theoretically suppress all dissent, a population's collective boldness significantly influences an adaptive authority's ability and speed to achieve widespread self-censorship, with higher boldness often preventing or delaying suppression.

Key insights

  • Individual behavior categorizes into compliance, self-censorship, or defiance, with the type of punishment (uniform vs. proportional) significantly altering the conditions under which these behaviors occur.
  • A theoretical "draconian policy" (zero tolerance, perfect surveillance, sufficiently high severity) exists that can completely suppress all dissent with zero punishment costs, acting as a Nash equilibrium.
  • Under imperfect surveillance, proportional punishment can counter-intuitively lead to defiance for individuals with intermediate desired dissent, while those with very high desired dissent may still partially self-censor.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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