Reproduce “Simulating Life Paths with Digital Twins: AI-Generated Future Selves Influence Decision-Making and Expand Human Choice” on OpenResearch

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About this paper

Rachel Poonsiriwong, Chayapatr Archiwaranguprok, Constanze Albrecht, Peggy Yin, Nattavudh Powdthavee, Hal Hershfield, Monchai Lertsutthiwong, Kavin Winson and 1 more

The system lets young adults explore consequential choices by conversing with personalized simulations of themselves 30 years older, each imagining a different path, and can generate a value-linked third option. In a randomized study of 192 US adults aged 18–28, 20.0% offered three avatars chose that option, versus 2.7% in guided imagination (p = 0.019); this measured immediate stated choices, not follow-through.

Key insights

  • AI-generated future selves can exert directional persuasive influence, with single-sided presentations doubling the likelihood of decision shifts towards the presented option.
  • The AI system effectively expands human choice architecture by introducing novel alternatives, with participants selecting system-generated 'Option C' at a rate over seven times higher than control.
  • For high-stakes decisions, users prioritize cognitive (evaluative vividness) and meaning-making (eudaimonic vividness) aspects of future self simulations significantly more than emotional connection (affective vividness) or visual realism.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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