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About this paper

Quynh Vo, Thong Nguyen, Vinh-Hien Do, Cong-Duy Nguyen, Anh-Tuan Luu

The Predictive State Retrieval (PSR) benchmark is introduced, defining a new task that requires models to anticipate an object's future state from a video prefix and retrieve cross-instance visual examples of that state. The LFTR baseline achieved an R@5 of 16.1 1.0, outperforming a 32B multimodal language model and demonstrating that forecasting, rather than perception, is the primary challenge.

Key insights

  • Cross-space fusion of semantic and visual retrieval spaces is critical, providing the largest performance gains by leveraging complementary information about future states.
  • Hard negative training is essential for improving visual space retrieval, specifically in mitigating visual confusability among potential future states.
  • Forecasting future states, rather than perception or retrieval mechanisms, represents the central learnable bottleneck, particularly for predictions beyond short temporal horizons.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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