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About this paper

Kazutoshi Sasahara, Aoi Naito, Ryo Fujie

The authors model independent binary-question panels with equal adviser accuracy above chance. They compare majority-vote accuracy with visible dissent, defined as at least two advisers on each side. At accuracy 0.9, a panel of 20 has majority accuracy above 99.999%, yet visible dissent occurs about 61% of the time. These are model results, not evidence about deployed systems.

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