Reproduce “Conformal Prediction Sets Quantify Information Gain: A Theoretical Perspective” on OpenResearch

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About this paper

Kevin Zhang, Stephen Bates

The authors define a family of information measures for conformal set-valued predictions, with Shannon mutual information equal to its integral and set-size reduction bounded by measures near calibrated thresholds, subject to calibration and model slack. On CIFAR-100 at 90% nominal coverage, set-size-based selection averaged 12.683 versus 13.763 for Shannon-MI selection, across global feature orderings, not per-example acquisition.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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