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About this paper

Xu Liu, Hanshu Yan, Taha Aksu, Quang Pham, Zhongzheng Qiao, Jun Hao Liew, Silvio Savarese, Doyen Sahoo and 1 more

GIFT-Eval-CTX tests whether forecasting models can turn numerical history and supplied descriptions of future trends and localized changes into accurate forecasts. Its future-derived Macro and Micro effects are paired with difficult held-out GIFT-Eval windows, isolating realization rather than context discovery. GPT-5.6 Sol’s aggregate relative MASE falls from 0.953 to 0.565, a 40.7% reduction, on selected benchmark instances.

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