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About this paper
Huaiyu Jia, Shuo Sun
The authors study whether visible Polymarket wallets’ historical profits can be identified, explained, and copied. They reconstruct wallet positions, analyze behavior, and test a constrained copying system in paper and live trading. The paper account ended at +44.18 pUSD, while the live account ended at −3.04 USDC; differing periods and trades prevent a direct comparison or conclusion of reliable profitability.
Summary by alphaXiv.
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