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About this paper

Ozan Sener, Anand Avati, David Hafner, Jierui Lin, Laura Manduchi, Xiaoying Pang, Langwen Huang, Torsten Hoefler and 2 more

FitzRoy forecasts hourly precipitation across the continental United States. It uses discrete diffusion to generate coherent rain fields, then reinforcement learning (RL) to favor samples scoring better against observations. On held-out data, it performs competitively with tested baselines through 24 hours, though gains over HREF are more modest; a Texas case study reports an extreme-rain signal up to 19 hours ahead.

Summary by alphaXiv.

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